PEDRO M. FERREIRA

Research Assistant Professor of Economics of Information Networks and Public Policy

 

H. John Heinz III College

Department of Engineering and Public Policy

Carnegie Mellon University

 

pedrof@cmu.edu

+1-412-2685526

 

Hamburg Hall 3042, Carnegie Mellon University

5000 Forbes Avenue, Pittsburgh PA, 15213

 

 

MAIN CURRENT ACTIVITIES

 

 

Economic Impact of ICTs in Education

 

Data Analytics

in Social Networks

 

Regulation of

Telecom Markets

 

 

Director, Dual PhD Program offered by Carnegie Mellon University, Instituto Superior Tecnico and the Faculty of Engineering of the University of Porto

 

 

 

EDUCATION

 

PhD, Engineering and Public Policy Specialization in Telecom Policy

Carnegie Mellon University, 2004

 

MsC, Electrical & Computer Engineering and Technology Policy

Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2002

 

MSc, Engineering Policy, Innovation and Management of Technology

Instituto Superior Tecnico, 1999

 

5-year BSc, Systems and Computer Science

Specialization in Industrial Informatics

Instituto Superior Tecnico, 1996

RESEARCH EXPERIENCE

 

iLab, Heinz College

Carnegie Mellon University, 2009-

 

Center for Innovation, Technology and Policy Research, Instituto Superior Tecnico, 1998-

 

School of Information

University of California at Berkeley, 2004-05

 

Communications Future Program Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 2000-02

 

University of Texas Inequality Project

LBJ School of Public Affairs, 1999-00

 

 

 

TEACHING EXPERIENCE

 

Carnegie Mellon University

Information Security Risk Analysis and Telecommunications Management, 2000-

 

Instituto Superior Tecnico

Telecommunications Management and Policy, Introduction to Engineering and Policy, 2005-10

 

Judge Business School, Cambridge University

Lecturer for Telecommunications Management and Policy, 2005-08

 

Communications Future Program at MIT

Teaching Assistant for Data Analysis for Telecommunications Policy, 2000-02

 

Math Department, Instituto Superior Tecnico

Teaching Assistant and Grader for Linear Algebra, Calculus I and IV, 1999-05

PROFESSIONAL EXPERIENCE

 

Knowledge Society Agency

Ministry for Science and Technology, Portugal

2005-09

 

Member of the Board of Directors of the Portuguese Governmental Agency for the development of the Information Society. Led several projects spreading affordable access to the Internet and developing ICT-related skills countrywide. Represented Portugal in several international fora and committees on Internet Governance, including the HLIG and IGF

 

Bell Labs, Economics and Technology Management Group

Summer 2000

 

Internship in optical backbone design. Developed models for dynamic capacity planning.

 

 

 

RESEARCH GRANTS AND AWARDS

 

Co-PI: Living Analytics Research Center, Partnership w/ Singapore Management University, Source: Government of Singapore, $20m/5 years, with Steve Miller, Steve Fienberg, Ramayya Krishnan, Rahul Telang and Alessandro Acquisti

 

PI: Engineering and Public Policy Dual PhD Program offered jointly by Carnegie Mellon University and Portugal, Source: Portuguese Government, $5.3m/5 years

 

PI: Technology, Management and Policy for the Telecommunications Industry

Source: Portuguese Government, $1.05m/3 years, with Marvin Sirbu

 

Co-PI: The Role of User Innovators in the Development of Telecom Products and Service, Source: Portuguese Government, $300k/3 years, with Pedro Oliveira and Francisco Veloso

 

PI: Assessing the Impact of Broadband of Informal Education, Source: Time Warner Cable Research Program on Digital Communications, $20k/6 months

 

Co-PI: Modeling Mobile Customer Behavior, Source: Wharton Consumer Analytics Initiative, $2.5k/6 months, with Rahul Telang

 

 

SUPERVISION OF PHD STUDENTS AND POST-DOCTORAL FELLOWS

 

Rodrigo Belo (chair) – EPP PhD Student working on the impact of ICTs in schools and peer influence over cell phone networks

 

Miguel Matos (chair) – EPP PhD Student working on regulation of telecom markets and peer influence over cell phone networks

 

Ryan Turner (chair) – EPP PhD Student working on impact of wireless broadband on academic performance at the university level

 

Qiwei Han (chair) – EPP PhD Student working on identifying determinants of customer churn in cell phone networks

 

Alexandre Ligo (co-chair) – EPP PhD Student looking at the impact of information on the design and utilization of public transportation

 

Filipa Reis (co-chair) – Heinz PhD Student looking at peer influence over cell phone networks and platforms for crowd-funding

 

Daegon Cho (committee member)– Heinz PhD Student looking at trends in the movie industry and costumer value in cell phone networks

 

Pavel Krivitsky – Postdoctoral Fellow working on churn prediction and identification over cell phone networks

 

Michael Oraro – Postdoctoral Fellow working on pricing asymmetries in telecommunications wholesale markets

 

Chintan Vaishnav – Postdoctoral Fellow working on the impact of Internet on Cyber democracy and political will

 

Paul Laskowski – Postdoctoral Fellow working on modeling supply chains in telecoms and on the impact of network neutrality

 

RESEARCH UNDER DEVELOPMENT

 

I pursue three lines of related research using both theoretical as well as empirical approaches. My research interests rely on understanding how people use technology and influence each other to do so and how firms and regulation interact to shape telecommunication and information markets.

 

Economic Impact of ICTs in Education

 

This line of research is devoted to measure the economic impact of ICTs, and broadband in particular, in schools and universities. Economic impact is measured through academic performance as well as widespread adoption and use of broadband. A series of empirical papers are under preparation and/or submitted for publication:

 

1. ÒThe Effects of Broadband in Schools on StudentsÕ PerformanceÓ, with Rodrigo Belo and Rahul Telang. This paper shows that the introduction of broadband in schools leads to a decrease in grades in the short-term.

 

2. ÒImpact of Wireless Internet on Graduate Academic PerformanceÓ, with Ryan Turner. This paper shows that higher usage of wireless Internet in the University of Porto is associated with better academic performance.

 

3. ÒSpillover Effects of Wiring Schools with BroadbandÓ. This paper shows that wiring schools with broadband in Portugal led to an increase in the overall Internet traffic in the country.

 

4. ÒSpillover Effects of Broadband in Schools and the Critical Role of ChildrenÓ, with Rodrigo Belo and Rahul Telang. This paper shows that deploying broadband to schools leads to an increase in the household adoption rate of Internet.

 

5. ÒFamily Spillover Effects of Broadband Internet in SchoolsÓ, with Rodrigo Belo. In this paper we expect to address the issue of whether adults in the household use more Internet as a result of having children in school that do so (still in preliminary stage).

 

Data Analytics in Social Networks

 

This line of research is focused on analyzing large datasets on consumer behavior to empirically establish and measure the effect of peer influence over social networks in network churn and purchase of cell phone related products. A number of papers are under preparation and/or submitted for publication:

 

1. ÒSocial Network Data Lifts Prediction of Near-Future Mobile ChurnersÓ, with Pavel Krivistky. This paper shows that using data about the social circle allows for better predicting churners in cell phone networks.

 

2. ÒContagious Churn in Cell Phone NetworksÓ, with Pavel Krivitsky and Rahul Telang. This paper shows that when a consumer leaves a cell phone operator her friendsÕ propensity to follow increases.

 

3. ÒDiffusion and Influence over Cell Phone NetworksÓ, with Rodrigo Belo. This paper uses randomization techniques to establish what kind of cell phone products diffuse based on peer influence.

 

4. ÒDiffusion of Handsets over Cell Phone NetworksÓ, with Miguel Matos. This paper shows the effect of peer influence in the diffusion of cell phone handsets.

 

5. ÒPeer influence in Shurn over in Cell Phone NetworksÓ, with Qiwei Han. This paper identifies the determinants of churn in cell phone networks.

 

6. ÒDeterminants of the Life Cycle of TweetsÓ, wih Vasco Pedro and Miguel Matos. In this paper we hope to characterize the life cycle of tweets and understand better the determinants of successful tweets (still in preliminary stage).

 

Regulation of Telecom Markets

 

This line of research looks at the structure of telecom markets with emphasis on local networks. The impact of wholesale price regulation is analyzed from an economic perspective. Option theory is used to address issues of asymmetric value between infrastructure and virtual providers.

 

1.     ÒWholesale Price Regulation in Telecoms with Endogenous Entry and Simultaneous MarketsÓ, with Miguel Matos. This paper predicts entry into local NGN telecom markets as a function of wholesale regulation and shows that current EU practice to deregulate these markets might hurt welfare.

 

2.     ÒUsing Contingent Claim Theory to Price Flexibility in Local Access MarketsÓ, with Michael Oraro. This paper uses option theory to price the flexibility provided to virtual operators who can time entry with the stochastic dynamics of downstream retail value.

 

3.     ÒPricing Flexibility in Subloop UnbundlingÓ, with Michael Oraro. This paper uses option theory to price the flexibility provided to virtual operators who can use unbundled network elements to compete in local access markets (still in early stage).

 

4.      ÒWelfare Changes in the Cournot Setting and Application to the ICT SectorÓ. This paper shows how the change in the number of firms in a market with economies of scale affects welfare in the absence of regulation.

 

5.     ÒThe Efficiency of Cournot Equilibrium and Application to the ICT SectorÓ. This paper shows how the change in the number of firms in a market with economies of scale hurts welfare relative to the welfare generated by a fully regulated monopolist.

 

 

DUAL PHD PROGRAM IN ENGINEERING AND PUBLIC POLICY

 

Carnegie Mellon University embarked in a major partnership with a number of Portuguese Universities to develop joint research projects and graduate educational programs. For more information visit CMU-Portugal. I have been responsible for the Dual PhD Program in Engineering and Public Policy, offered jointly by the Department of Engineering and Public Policy at Carnegie Melon University, Instituto Superior Tecnico of the Technical University of Lisbon and the Faculty of Engineering at the University of Porto.

 

This program focus on critical infrastructures, with specializations in information networks management and policy and in energy policy and management. Students spend half of the time before they graduate at CMU and the other half in Portugal. Upon successful completion of the requirements to graduate students obtain two PhD diplomas, one from Carnegie Mellon University and another one from the Portuguese University they enrolled with. Deadline for applications is January 15th every year. Fellowships covering full tuition and stipend for four years are available for the top candidates.