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In the final, explosively productive year of his life, Horacio Arló-Costa graciously committed himself to the Associate Directorship of the Center for Formal Epistemology. It was truly a labor of love for Horacio, who enthusiastically agreed to "put the pedal to the metal" during the CFE's first year of operation. The superlative record of the CFE's first year is posted here in lasting memory of Horacio's tremendous contribution to its lasting success.
June 26-27, 2010, CFE Opening Celebration
Paul Egre, Vagueness: Tolerant, Classical, Strict
Branden Fitelson, Rutgers, The Problem of Irrelevant Conjunction --- Revisited
Stephan Hartmann, Tilburg, Confirmation and Reduction: A Bayesian Account
James Joyce, Michigan, A Defense of Imprecise Credences in Inference and Decision Making
Hans Kamp, Stuttgart, Back and Forth between Language and Thought
Hannes Leitgeb, Ludwig-Maximiliens University, Reducing Belief Simpliciter to Degrees of Belief
Rohit Parikh, CUNY, Behavior and Belief
Oliver Schulte, Simon Fraser, Causal Models for Relational Data
Teddy Seidenfeld, Carnegie Mellon, Getting to Know your Probabilities: Three ways to frame personal probabilities for decision making.
Wilfried Sieg, Carnegie Mellon, Structural Proof Theory: Uncovering Aspects of the Mathematical Mind
Brian Skyrms, UC Irvine,
The Concepts of Information and Deception in Signalling Games
Wolfgang Spohn, Konstanz, A Guided Tour through the Cosmos of Ranking Theory
James Woodward, Pittsburgh,
Causal Learning and Judgment: Covariation and Contact Mechanics
September 2, 2010, Colloquium
Robert Batterman, University of Pittsburgh
Explaining Regularities: The Need for Singular Behavior
September 24, 2010, Informal Lunchtime Talk
Yasuo Deguchi, University of Kyoto
Three Prisoners Problem and Likelihoodism
September 30, 2010, Distinguished Alumnus Lecture
Robert Malkin, Senior Software Engineer, Google
Predicting Bounce Rates in Sponsored Search
October 7, 2010, Philosophy Colloquium
Kevin Knuth, SUNY Albany.
Quantification and the Origin of Physical Law: The Feynman Complex Formalism of Quantum Mechanics
October 22, 2010, Nagel Lecture
Brian Skyrms, U.C. Irvine
On the Dynamics of Signaling
October 21, 2010, Nagel Lecture
Brian Skyrms, U.C. Irvine
Signals: Evolution, Learning and Information
October 19, 2010, Nagel Lecture
Brian Skyrms, U.C. Irvine
Naturalizing the Social Contract
November 17, 2010, Informal Lunchtime Talk
Timothy Williamson, Wykeham Professor of Logic, Oxford University
Necessitism, Contingentism and Plural Quantification
November 18, 2010, Philosophy Colloquium
Timothy Williamson, Wykeham Professor of Logic, Oxford University
Improbable Knowledge
November 22, 2010, Center for Ethics and Policy (CEP) Colloquium
Russell Powell, Oxford University
In Genes We Trust: Germ-Line Modification and the Preservation of Human Good
December 1, 2010, CFE Workshop
Speakers
Ralph Hertwig, University of Basel
Jonathan Leland, National Science Foundation
Paul Pedersen, Carnegie Mellon University
Elke Weber, Columbia University
Jerome Busemeyer, Indiana Universityi at Bloomington
Coty Gonzalez, Carnegie Mellon University
Tim Pleskac, Michigan State University
J.D. Trout, Loyola University
Horacio Arlo-Costa, Carnegie Mellon University
Discussants
David Danks, Carnegie Mellon University
Kevin Kelly, Carnegie Mellon University
Richard Samuels, Ohio State University
December 2, 2010, Informal Lunchtime Talk
Michael Shaffer, St. Cloud State University
Knowledge, Rationality, and Scientific Idealization
January 20, 2011, Philosophy Colloquium:
Cosma Shalizi, Carnegie Mellon University
Praxis and Ideology in Bayesian Statistics
March 3, 2011, Philosophy Colloquium:
Wayne Myrvold, University of Western Ontario
Maxwell and a Third Second Law of Thermodynamics.
March 16, 2011, CFE Symposium on Uncertain Acceptance
Hannes Leitgeb, Ludwig-Maximiliens-University
The Lockean Thesis Revisited
Horacio Arlo-Costaand Paul Pedersen, Carnegie Mellon University
Reducing Belief To Degrees of Belief: A General Theory of Probability Cores
Hanti Lin and Kevin T. Kelly
Propositional Reasoning that Tracks Probabilistic Reasoning
March 28, 2011, Center for Ethics and Policy Colloquium:
Gusfaf Arrhenius, Stockholm University
The Impossibility of a Satisfactory Population Ethics
March 31, 2011, Philosophy Colloquium:
Anil Gupta, University of Pittsburgh
Conditionals in Theories of Truth
April 6, 2011, Informal Lunchtime Talk:
Michiel van Lambalgen, University of Amsterdam
A Formalisation of Kant's Transcendental Logic
April 7, 2011, Philosophy Colloquium:
Michiel van Lambalgen, University of Amsterdam
Logical Modelling of Cognitive Processes: the Case of Autism
April 21, 2011, Philosophy Colloquium:
Mic Detlefsen, Notre Dame University
Freedom in Mathematics
April 22, 2011, Informal Lunchtime Talk
Rachel Briggs, University of Sydney and NYU
Two Interpretations of the Ramsey Test
May 5, 2011, Philosophy and CMU-Pitt Program in Computational Biology Joint Colloquium
Ioannis Tsamardinos, University of Crete
Toward Integrative Causal Analysis of Heterogeneous Datasets and Prior Knowledge
June 22, 2011, Informal Lunchtime Talk:
Emmanuel J. Genot, University of Lund
A Little Semantics is a Dangerous Thing
Episteme Conference, held jointly with the CFE.
June 24Requiem Aeternam Horacio